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The Hidden Front:

Taiwan's Submarine Cables and the Architecture of Resilience

Estonian naval ships sail in the Baltic Sea on Thursday, Jan. 9, 2025, as part of stepped-up NATO patrols in the region following suspected sabotage of undersea cables. (AP Photo/Hendrik Osula)
作者
Athena Tong
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Visiting Researcher at University of Tokyo and Program Lead at the China Strategic Risks Institute (CSRI)

  • Submarine cables are increasingly a gray-zone battleground, with recent incidents suggesting deliberate interference aimed at testing limits and eroding resilience without crossing into open conflict.
  • Taiwan sits at a critical yet exposed junction of global connectivity, where its cables underpin Indo-Pacific data flows and semiconductor supply chains, making any disruption a systemic risk beyond the island itself.
  • Taiwan is now shifting from vulnerability toward leadership, with legal reforms and international initiatives positioning it to help shape emerging norms and cooperation on subsea infrastructure security.

On March 30, 2026, a Chinese-flagged work barge called the Hai Hong Gong 66 allegedly damaged the Taiwan-Matsu Subsea Cable No. 3 while operating near Dongyin, a tiny island community less than thirty nautical miles from the Chinese mainland. Eleven crew members were detained. The captain was brought ashore for questioning. Communications were rerouted to backup systems; repairs may not be completed until July. For the residents of Matsu, this is a grimly familiar disruption. For the rest of the world, it should be a wake-up call.

This was not an isolated event. It was the latest in a pattern that has accelerated since 2023, and it raises a question that can no longer be left to engineers and telecom operators alone: who is responsible for protecting the cables that connect the world?

Where the Cables Meet

Taiwan's geography tells the story. Sitting along the first island chain, which runs from Japan through the Ryukyus, Taiwan, and the Philippines. Here, intra-Asian and trans-Pacific data flows converge. Twenty-four undersea cables connect Taiwan through landing stations at eight sites from New Taipei City in the north to Kaohsiung in the south. Fourteen are international cables; ten are domestic. These cables link Taiwan directly to Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore, the Philippines, and across the Pacific to the United States.

This is not coincidental. Taiwan's advanced semiconductor industry depends on uninterrupted, high-capacity data flows. These flows coordinate chip design, manufacturing, and logistics across continents. Everything from the island's financial system to its strategic communications travels through fiber optic strands thinner than a human hair, laid on the seabed. Google, Meta, and major telecom consortia continue to invest in cables that land on the island. The E2A cable, under construction by Chunghwa Telecom, SK Broadband, SoftBank, and Verizon, will stretch 12,500 kilometers from Toucheng in northeastern Taiwan to Busan, Maruyama, and Morro Bay, California. It will carry over 192 terabits per second when it comes online in the second half of 2028. It will interconnect with cables such as SJC2 and Apricot at Taiwan's landing stations, reinforcing what Chunghwa Telecom calls the island's role as an "Asia-Pacific information hub."

But centrality cuts both ways. Taiwan's cables run through corridors that are both geologically active and geopolitically contested. The 2006 Hengchun earthquake severed nine cables in a single event, producing twenty-one faults and disrupting internet services across Asia for weeks. Today, the threat is no longer just seismic.

A Pattern, Not an Accident

Taiwan's cables have been damaged with alarming frequency. According to the Control Yuan, there were 36 cases of external damage to domestic cables between 2019 and 2023, averaging seven per year, peaking at twelve in 2023. The Matsu cables alone have been severed more than 20 times in 5 years, due to a mix of natural deterioration, fishing activity, and vessel operations.

What changed in 2023 was the nature of the threat. A growing number of incidents now bear the hallmarks of suspected deliberate sabotage by vessels linked to China, shifting the issue from an operational headache to a national security crisis. In February 2023, two cables serving the Matsu Islands were cut within a week, leaving roughly 14,000 residents dependent on degraded microwave backup for over fifty days. In January 2025, Shunxing-39 - a freighter with Chinese links, operating under the Cameroon flag - was suspected of damaging the Trans-Pacific Express cable off Keelung, using an erratic, crisscrossing navigation pattern consistent with deliberate anchor-dragging. The following month, the Togo-flagged Hong Tai 58, crewed by Chinese nationals and previously registered under multiple flags, severed the Taiwan-Penghu No. 3 cable in a government-designated no-anchor zone. In June 2025, a Taiwanese court sentenced the Chinese captain to three years in prison and ordered approximately NTD 18 million in damages, the first criminal conviction of a foreign national for intentional cable sabotage in Taiwan's history.

These incidents do not happen in a vacuum. They sit within the broader toolkit of PRC gray-zone operations: actions calibrated to fall below the threshold of armed conflict while steadily eroding the target's resilience and testing how far it can go. Cable interference fits alongside military encirclement exercises, Coast Guard incursions, cyber intrusions, and information operations. Notably, the targets have been precise, with mostly cables connecting Taiwan’s main island to its outlying islands being affected, particularly Matsu and Penghu, where redundancy is thin, rather than the larger international trunk lines. This suggests familiarity with cable routes and a deliberate selection of vulnerable links to maximize disruption while minimizing the risk of a decisive international response.

There are also signs that the problem extends beyond China alone. In late 2024 and early 2025, the Belize-flagged, Russian-operated Vasili Shukshin spent nearly four weeks making commercially inexplicable movements near Taiwan's Fangshan cable landing station before sailing back to a Russian Pacific port. Taken together with similar patterns in the Baltic Sea, where Chinese-linked vessels have been implicated in cutting cables between Finland and Germany, these movements point to seabed operations coordinated across theaters.

Taiwan Pushes Back

For years, Taiwan's responses were reactive: patch the cable, reroute traffic, wait for the next break. That is changing.

The most significant step has been the passage of amendments to seven laws: the Telecommunications Management Act, the Electricity Act, the Natural Gas Enterprise Act, the Water Supply Act, the Meteorological Act, the Commercial Port Act, and the Law of Ships. Collectively, they are known as the "seven submarine cable laws" (海纜七法). Taking effect on January 8, 2026, these amendments criminalize intentional damage to submarine cables and critical infrastructure with penalties of up to seven years' imprisonment. Most importantly for deterrence, they require all vessels operating in Taiwan's territorial waters to keep their Automatic Identification System (AIS) active and transmitting accurate data, with violations punishable by fines up to NTD 10 million and vessel confiscation. Disabling AIS, the primary method by which suspected saboteurs have concealed their movements, is now a standalone criminal offense.

Operationally, Taiwan's Coast Guard has shifted to round-the-clock patrols near high-risk cable segments, monitoring a watch list of 96 China-affiliated vessels registered under flags of convenience. Chunghwa Telecom's Submarine Cable Automatic Warning System (SAWS) triggers automated alerts when vessels near cable routes exhibit suspicious behavior, though its effectiveness hinges on AIS data, which the new legislation now mandates.

At the international level, Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung launched the RISK Management Initiative on International Undersea Cables at the Taiwan-Europe Subsea Cable Security Cooperation Forum in Taipei in October 2025. The RISK (Risk mitigation, Information sharing, Systemic reform, and Knowledge building) initiative received endorsement from 42 parliamentarians across 18 European countries and was incorporated into the Formosa Club's annual summit joint statement. The initiative marks a shift: Taiwan is no longer just a victim of cable disruption, but an agenda-setter in global infrastructure governance.

What Taiwan Brings to the Table

Taiwan's contributions to regional cable resilience go beyond self-defense. Three stand out.

The first is legal precedent. The Hong Tai 58 prosecution showed that domestic law can hold perpetrators accountable for cable sabotage, in sharp contrast to the Baltic, where Finland's Helsinki District Court dismissed charges against the Eagle S crew in October 2025 for lack of jurisdiction over acts in the exclusive economic zone. Taiwan's AIS criminalization and vessel-confiscation provisions are now among the most advanced in the Indo-Pacific, and they offer a legislative template for neighboring states grappling with the same threat.

The second is systemic importance. Taiwan is not just another coastal state with cables running offshore; it is an indispensable node in global data architecture. Damage to key cable clusters in critical areas, such as the Bashi Channel, could significantly reduce Taiwan's international bandwidth, with cascading effects on semiconductor logistics, financial markets, and allied military communications. Investing in Taiwan's cable security is not a favor to Taipei; it is risk management for any economy that depends on advanced chips, cloud infrastructure, or Pacific data routes.

The third is institutional willingness. Taiwan has woven SAWS monitoring, coast guard enforcement, prosecutorial tools, and now the RISK initiative into a coherent whole-of-society resilience architecture. Smaller island nations and coastal states across the Indo-Pacific could adapt this model. Taiwan's readiness to share its experience through platforms such as the Global Cooperation and Training Framework positions it as a credible partner, not merely a beneficiary, in allied cable protection efforts.

Building the Architecture

What, then, should policymakers do?

Cable protection needs to be treated as a collective security issue. The E2A consortium linking operators in Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, and the United States via a single cable means that damage to one segment affects all parties. Shared vulnerability demands shared investment in monitoring, rapid-response protocols, and, above all, repair capacity.

Taiwan is covered by two regional cable maintenance agreements: the Yokohama Zone, which coordinates emergency repairs through cable ships stationed at the port of Yokohama, and the South East Asia and Indian Ocean Cable Maintenance Agreement (SEAIOCMA), a cooperative of some 46 cable owners spanning from Djibouti to Guam, with a depot and vessel based at Subic Bay in the Philippines. Together, these zones provide the repair infrastructure Taiwan depends on, but Taiwan itself owns none of the vessels involved. If cable sabotage becomes routine rather than exceptional, relying entirely on cooperative agreements designed for peacetime accident response is a strategic liability. A jointly developed, multi-role cable repair vessel program would close this gap.

Legal frameworks need modernizing. The 1884 Convention for the Protection of Submarine Telegraph Cables was written for copper telegraph wires and imperial navies. It says nothing about state-sponsored gray-zone operations conducted through civilian vessels flying flags of convenience. Taiwan's seven-law reform package and the bipartisan Taiwan Undersea Cable Resilience Initiative Act (S. 2222), introduced in the U.S. Senate in July 2025, are steps forward, but a broader multilateral effort is needed to establish enforceable norms, flag-state accountability, and joint investigation protocols.

The connective tissue among governments, industry, and security communities also remains too thin; there is no dedicated multilateral body focused on coordinating subsea cable protection and repair in the Indo-Pacific. Track 1.5 dialogues bringing officials, cable operators, insurers, and researchers into the same room need to become institutionalized, not episodic. Promising models exist: the Australia-India Cables Dialogue, launched in 2025, has advanced cooperation on supply chain resilience; the US-ASEAN Business Council is running a Subsea Cables Policy Dialogue Series through 2026; and the Japan-Taiwan Economic Security Dialogue at the University of Tokyo dedicated a session to submarine cable infrastructure cooperation in May 2025. Taiwan's own RISK initiative is designed to foster exactly these exchanges. But the forums need to mature, moving from awareness-raising toward joint risk assessments, pre-negotiated emergency permitting, and shared attribution protocols.

Finally, cable security must be embedded in the broader architecture of economic security alongside semiconductor supply chains, energy resilience, and cyber defense. Japan's cabinet has approved legislation to bring submarine cables under the Economic Security Promotion Act, and the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications is investing in AI-enabled anomaly detection for near-real-time fault identification. These point toward a future where cable protection is integrated into national security planning rather than left to telecom operators.

Taiwan cannot protect its cables alone. But its geography, its hard-won experience, and its willingness to innovate give it something rare: the standing to lead. Not as the weakest link, but as the node that can strengthen the whole network.